{"id":19052,"date":"2018-02-21T15:23:13","date_gmt":"2018-02-21T21:23:13","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.flovalleynews.com\/?p=19052"},"modified":"2018-02-21T15:23:13","modified_gmt":"2018-02-21T21:23:13","slug":"the-windy-zeitgeist-of-oscar-picking","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/flovalleynews.com\/?p=19052","title":{"rendered":"The Windy Zeitgeist of Oscar Picking"},"content":{"rendered":"
\"Sandra<\/a>
Sandra Olmsted<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n

by Sandra Olmsted<\/h3>\n

Predicting the Oscars is like throwing darts into the future without any inkling of how the winds of zeitgeist will be blowing by the final day that Academy members cast their ballots. With the surge in really meaty roles for women, will it be the year of women and the women\u2019s film? Will the old status quo of the male-dominated industry vote as it always had and ignore the work of women? Will the complicated Oscar voting process allow the best to rise to the top and win? How does one define best in a matchup between such diverse films, performances, written roles, and accomplishments?<\/p>\n

I\u2019ll take a stab into the nebulous black hole of Oscar predictions, but don\u2019t quote me afterward because that old zeitgeist is an odd nor’easter right now, and the field of films is exquisite, elegant, and thought-provoking.<\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n

\"Doug<\/a>
<\/strong> Doug Jones and Sally Hawkins in \u2018The Shape of Water.\u2019<\/strong><\/figcaption><\/figure>\n

BEST PICTURE<\/strong><\/h2>\n

 <\/p>\n

\u201cCall Me by Your Name\u201d – <\/strong>In a year when relationships between older men and underage or coming of age people, including some teenage boys, have come to light, the Academy voters might shy away from this title despite the beauty and style of the acting, directing, and writing.<\/p>\n

\u201cDarkest Hour\u201d<\/strong> – This essentially one-man show about Churchill, during Dunkirk and when England desperately needed a powerful ally, is a mesmerizing biopic; however, it is on Gary Oldman\u2019s performance that most of the film’s success rests. The editing and cinematography also lend quite a hand in telling his story.<\/p>\n

\u201cDunkirk\u201d –<\/strong> As far as war pictures go, this one gets inside the events of Dunkirk with an unusual and non-chronological timeline which left some viewers dissatisfied; however, this reviewer loved it once I caught on and saw it a second time.<\/p>\n

\u201cGet Out\u201d – <\/strong>A solid film which points up social and institutional racism; however, it is a horror film, and if a horror film wins, the smart money is on another one.<\/p>\n

\u201cLady Bird\u201d – <\/strong>As a coming of age film which presents a female spin on the genre, the film offers an engagingly accurate portrayal of the complexities of mother-daughter relationships.<\/p>\n

\u201cPhantom Thread\u201d –<\/strong> By far the strangest and most disturbing characters and relationships portrayed in all the films up for this award, including the one in which a woman falls hopelessly in love with an amphibian.<\/p>\n

\u201cThe Post\u201d –<\/strong> Having seen this film three times now, I find something new each time. The main character, who owns and runs a major newspaper by default, finding her voice and standing up to the men who bully and control her, is moving, which puts this movie in contention for the win.<\/p>\n

MY PREDICTION: \u201cThe Shape of Water\u201d<\/span>…<\/strong>While the love story between a mute woman and an amphibious man-creature, who is about to be vivisected by the monstrous government wonk, is compelling, the director also brings his full-on game to what is easily a masterpiece of filmmaking.<\/p>\n

\u201cThree Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri\u201d…<\/strong> After watching this transplanted Greek tragedy a third time, I find I am more and more impressed by this film. The dialogue is comedic and dark, the irony thick, and the underlying humanity of the angry, depressed, scared, and\/or abused folks in this small town keeps peeping out at unexpected moments.<\/p>\n

By rights, Guillermo del Toro\u2019s \u201cThe Shape of Water\u201d should win because it is masterpiece and beautiful, and if it doesn\u2019t it will probably be \u201cThree Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri\u201d that wins. The third possibility is the latter two films split the vote and \u201cThe Post\u201d takes Best Picture.<\/p>\n

\u00a0<\/strong><\/p>\n

\u00a0<\/strong><\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n

\"Frances<\/a>
<\/strong> Frances McDormand and Sam Rockwell in \u2018Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri.<\/strong><\/figcaption><\/figure>\n

BEST ACTRESS<\/strong><\/h2>\n

 <\/p>\n

Sally Hawkins, \u201cThe Shape of Water\u201d<\/p>\n

MY PREDICTION: Frances McDormand, \u201cThree Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri\u201d<\/strong><\/span><\/p>\n

Margot Robbie, \u201cI, Tonya\u201d<\/p>\n

Saoirse Ronan, \u201cLady Bird\u201d<\/p>\n

Meryl Streep, \u201cThe Post\u201d<\/p>\n

Every one of these roles for women is meatier than have been on the screen in quite some time, and it is about time.\u00a0 Every one of these performances and actresses deserves kudos; however, only one can take Oscar home. Despite the power and sophistication of Hawkins, as she portrays a mute cleaning lady and conveys so many emotions. and despite the emotional depth of Ronan\u2019s teenager coming to terms with the hard knocks of life and loving your family and friends despite their flaws, I think McDormand, an angry, grieving mother who is mostly angry at herself and lashing out at everyone else, is the powerhouse performance that will win Best Actress. Not a loser in the bunch really, and they are all worth seeing.<\/p>\n

\u00a0<\/strong><\/p>\n

\u00a0<\/strong><\/p>\n

\"Laurie<\/a>
Laurie Metcalf and Saoirse Ronan in \u2018Lady Bird.\u2019<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n

SUPPORTING ACTRESS<\/strong><\/h2>\n

Mary J. Blige, \u201cMudbound\u201d<\/p>\n

Allison Janney, \u201cI, Tonya\u201d<\/p>\n

Lesley Manville, \u201cPhantom Thread\u201d<\/p>\n

MY PREDICTION: Laurie Metcalf, \u201cLady Bird\u201d<\/strong><\/span><\/p>\n

Octavia Spencer, \u201cThe Shape of Water\u201d<\/p>\n

While Blige and Janney are fabulous, Metcalf\u2019s performance in \u201cLady Bird\u201d stands out in this tight field, and I think she will take home the Oscar.<\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n

\"Gary<\/a>
Gary Oldman in \u2018Darkest Hour.\u2019<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n

BEST ACTOR<\/strong><\/h2>\n

Timoth\u00e9e Chalamet, \u201cCall Me by Your Name\u201d<\/p>\n

Daniel Day-Lewis, \u201cPhantom Thread\u201d<\/p>\n

Daniel Kaluuya, \u201cGet Out\u201d<\/p>\n

MY PREDICTION: Gary Oldman, \u201cDarkest Hour\u201d\u00a0<\/span>\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0<\/strong><\/p>\n

Denzel Washington, \u201cRoman J. Israel, Esq.\u201d\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0 <\/strong><\/p>\n

Although it is another tight field with many stunning performances, Oldman\u2019s Winston Churchill stands above the rest for the sheer power and stamina of his portrayal of a man whose force of will save his nation and perhaps the world. Of course, Day-Lewis might get the Oscar simply because he claims this is his last role, or other winds of the zeitgeist may propel another actor to win, stealing Oldham\u2019s Oscar. The fortunes and fates as they may be, Oldman is long overdue for an Oscar, and Academy voters might go for that.<\/p>\n

\u00a0<\/strong><\/p>\n

\u00a0<\/strong><\/p>\n

SUPPORTING ACTOR<\/strong><\/h2>\n

Willem Dafoe, \u201cThe Florida Project\u201d<\/p>\n

Woody Harrelson, \u201cThree Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri\u201d<\/p>\n

Richard Jenkins, \u201cThe Shape of Water\u201d<\/p>\n

Christopher Plummer, \u201cAll the Money in the World\u201d<\/p>\n

MY PREDICTION: Sam Rockwell, \u201cThree Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri\u201d<\/strong><\/span><\/p>\n

Two deserving actors nominated from the same film usually mean neither will take Oscar home; however, all the actors and their roles could win by virtue of zeitgeist alone. While Rockwell\u2019s performance as the angry, racist cop who changes will probably take the Oscar, Dafoe is a close second for his role as the forthright and compassionate manager of a seedy motel near Disney World.<\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n

DIRECTOR<\/strong><\/h2>\n

\u201cDunkirk\u201d Christopher Nolan<\/p>\n

\u201cGet Out\u201d Jordan Peele<\/p>\n

\u201cLady Bird\u201d Greta Gerwig<\/p>\n

\u201cPhantom Thread\u201d Paul Thomas Anderson<\/p>\n

MY PREDICTION: \u201cThe Shape of Water\u201d Guillermo del Toro<\/strong><\/span><\/p>\n

Again, there is not a slacker in this bunch. Each director has shown expert skill in making their films. Peele\u2019s foray into serious drama in the guise of a horror film is powerful. Nolan\u2019s war film hits all the marks for the genre\u2019s conventions without feeling anything but new. Anderson\u2019s dark, disturbing tale is solidly directed. The field, however, comes down to Gerwig and del Toro, and I have to say that as much as a woman winning Best Director means to me personally, I\u2019m a fan of del Toro\u2019s work, and \u201cThe Shape of Water\u201d shows how his genius has matured to produce such an exquisite, haunting fairy tale.<\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n

ORIGINAL SCREENPLAY<\/strong><\/h2>\n

\u201cThe Big Sick\u201d by Emily V. Gordon & Kumail Nanjiani<\/p>\n

\u201cGet Out\u201d by Jordan Peele<\/p>\n

\u201cLady Bird\u201d by Greta Gerwig<\/p>\n

\u201cThe Shape of Water\u201d by Guillermo del Toro and Vanessa Taylor; Story by Guillermo del Toro<\/p>\n

MY PREDICTION: \u201cThree Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri\u201d by Martin McDonagh<\/strong><\/span><\/p>\n

While I would like to see Peele\u2019s thought-provoking work on \u201cGet Out\u201d acknowledged, and I would be equally happy to see Gerwig take home at least one Oscar for her brilliant \u201cLady Bird,\u201d by rights, the Best Original Screenplay Oscar should go to the masterful writing by McDonagh for \u201cThree Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri.\u201d<\/p>\n

\u00a0<\/strong><\/p>\n

\u00a0<\/strong><\/p>\n

\"Writer\/Director<\/a>
Writer\/Director Dee Rees and Mary J. Blige on the set of \u2018Mudbound.\u2019<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n

ADAPTED SCREENPLAY<\/strong><\/h2>\n

\u201cCall Me by Your Name\u201d by James Ivory<\/p>\n

\u201cThe Disaster Artist\u201d by Scott Neustadter & Michael H. Weber<\/p>\n

\u201cLogan\u201d by Scott Frank & James Mangold and Michael Green; Story by James Mangold<\/p>\n

\u201cMolly\u2019s Game\u201d by Aaron Sorkin<\/p>\n

MY PREDICTION: \u201cMudbound\u201d by Virgil Williams and Dee Rees<\/strong><\/span><\/p>\n

Another tough field with strange headwinds emanating from the zeitgeist, I think both Sorkin for \u201cMolly\u2019s Game\u201d and Williams and Rees for \u201cMudbound\u201d stand a good chance of taking Oscar home because I don\u2019t think the industry is going to flame any fires by voting for the very well done script about a touchy subject in Ivory\u2019s \u201cCall Me by Your Name.\u201d Honoring \u201cMudbound\u201d gives the Academy an opportunity to honor a woman writer and an African American; furthermore, the script is solid and movingly written, meaning it deserves the Oscar on its own merit.<\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n

ORIGINAL SCORE<\/strong><\/h2>\n

\u201cDunkirk,\u201d Hans Zimmer<\/p>\n

\u201cPhantom Thread,\u201d Jonny Greenwood<\/p>\n

\u201cStar Wars: The Last Jedi,\u201d John Williams<\/p>\n

\u201cThree Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri,\u201d Carter Burwell<\/p>\n

MY PREDICTION: \u201cThe Shape of Water,\u201d Alexandre Desplat<\/strong><\/span><\/p>\n

While Burwell uses music in wry and interesting ways in \u201cThree Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri,\u201d Desplat\u2019s work in \u201cThe Shape of Water\u201d is a notch above with his stunning mix of humor, romance, and pathos.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

by Sandra Olmsted Predicting the Oscars is like throwing darts into the future without any inkling of how the winds of zeitgeist will be blowing by the final day that Academy members cast their ballots. With the surge in really meaty roles for women, will it be the year of women and the women\u2019s film? […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"nf_dc_page":"","om_disable_all_campaigns":false,"_monsterinsights_skip_tracking":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_active":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_note":"","_monsterinsights_sitenote_category":0,"ocean_post_layout":"","ocean_both_sidebars_style":"","ocean_both_sidebars_content_width":0,"ocean_both_sidebars_sidebars_width":0,"ocean_sidebar":"","ocean_second_sidebar":"","ocean_disable_margins":"enable","ocean_add_body_class":"","ocean_shortcode_before_top_bar":"","ocean_shortcode_after_top_bar":"","ocean_shortcode_before_header":"","ocean_shortcode_after_header":"","ocean_has_shortcode":"","ocean_shortcode_after_title":"","ocean_shortcode_before_footer_widgets":"","ocean_shortcode_after_footer_widgets":"","ocean_shortcode_before_footer_bottom":"","ocean_shortcode_after_footer_bottom":"","ocean_display_top_bar":"default","ocean_display_header":"default","ocean_header_style":"","ocean_center_header_left_menu":"","ocean_custom_header_template":"","ocean_custom_logo":0,"ocean_custom_retina_logo":0,"ocean_custom_logo_max_width":0,"ocean_custom_logo_tablet_max_width":0,"ocean_custom_logo_mobile_max_width":0,"ocean_custom_logo_max_height":0,"ocean_custom_logo_tablet_max_height":0,"ocean_custom_logo_mobile_max_height":0,"ocean_header_custom_menu":"","ocean_menu_typo_font_family":"","ocean_menu_typo_font_subset":"","ocean_menu_typo_font_size":0,"ocean_menu_typo_font_size_tablet":0,"ocean_menu_typo_font_size_mobile":0,"ocean_menu_typo_font_size_unit":"px","ocean_menu_typo_font_weight":"","ocean_menu_typo_font_weight_tablet":"","ocean_menu_typo_font_weight_mobile":"","ocean_menu_typo_transform":"","ocean_menu_typo_transform_tablet":"","ocean_menu_typo_transform_mobile":"","ocean_menu_typo_line_height":0,"ocean_menu_typo_line_height_tablet":0,"ocean_menu_typo_line_height_mobile":0,"ocean_menu_typo_line_height_unit":"","ocean_menu_typo_spacing":0,"ocean_menu_typo_spacing_tablet":0,"ocean_menu_typo_spacing_mobile":0,"ocean_menu_typo_spacing_unit":"","ocean_menu_link_color":"","ocean_menu_link_color_hover":"","ocean_menu_link_color_active":"","ocean_menu_link_background":"","ocean_menu_link_hover_background":"","ocean_menu_link_active_background":"","ocean_menu_social_links_bg":"","ocean_menu_social_hover_links_bg":"","ocean_menu_social_links_color":"","ocean_menu_social_hover_links_color":"","ocean_disable_title":"default","ocean_disable_heading":"default","ocean_post_title":"","ocean_post_subheading":"","ocean_post_title_style":"","ocean_post_title_background_color":"","ocean_post_title_background":0,"ocean_post_title_bg_image_position":"","ocean_post_title_bg_image_attachment":"","ocean_post_title_bg_image_repeat":"","ocean_post_title_bg_image_size":"","ocean_post_title_height":0,"ocean_post_title_bg_overlay":0.5,"ocean_post_title_bg_overlay_color":"","ocean_disable_breadcrumbs":"default","ocean_breadcrumbs_color":"","ocean_breadcrumbs_separator_color":"","ocean_breadcrumbs_links_color":"","ocean_breadcrumbs_links_hover_color":"","ocean_display_footer_widgets":"default","ocean_display_footer_bottom":"default","ocean_custom_footer_template":"","_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"ocean_post_oembed":"","ocean_post_self_hosted_media":"","ocean_post_video_embed":"","ocean_link_format":"","ocean_link_format_target":"self","ocean_quote_format":"","ocean_quote_format_link":"post","ocean_gallery_link_images":"on","ocean_gallery_id":[],"footnotes":""},"categories":[34,35,36,9,13,14,15,16,17,20,40,25,26],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-19052","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-alton","category-blackjack-spanishlake","category-florissant-business-news","category-columnists","category-entertainment-travel","category-events","category-features","category-ferguson","category-florissant","category-hazelwood","category-il","category-missouri","category-movie-reviews","entry"],"yoast_head":"\nThe Windy Zeitgeist of Oscar Picking - flovalleynews.com<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/flovalleynews.com\/?p=19052\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"The Windy Zeitgeist of Oscar Picking - flovalleynews.com\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"by Sandra Olmsted Predicting the Oscars is like throwing darts into the future without any inkling of how the winds of zeitgeist will be blowing by the final day that Academy members cast their ballots. With the surge in really meaty roles for women, will it be the year of women and the women\u2019s film? 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With the surge in really meaty roles for women, will it be the year of women and the women\u2019s film? 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